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2025-05-23
学术通讯 | 中国人民大学人口学系“刘铮系列讲座”之《Living-apart marriage in China》成功举办
2025-05-23
学术通讯 | 中国人民大学人口学系“刘铮系列讲座”之《性别化疾病暴露与文化延续》成功举办
2025-05-15
第二届少子化、生育支持与托育服务全国学术研讨会顺利举行
2025-04-17
学术通讯 | 中国人民大学人口学系“刘铮系列讲座”之《实验经济学基本原理及在中国农村政策探索中的应用》成功举办
2025-04-09
解锁AI+人口健康密码 |《人工智能赋能人口与健康研究》开放选课啦！
2025-03-27
第二届少子化、生育支持与托育服务全国学术研讨会会议通知（第二轮）
2025-03-19
讲座回顾｜中华民族共同体意识的呈现与唤醒——以西南地区‘多族共祖’现象为例
2025-03-19
学术通讯 | 中国人民大学人口学系“刘铮系列讲座”之《儿童研究方法论的国际经验与中国探索》成功举办
2025-02-28
AI赋能，健康领航丨“人口与健康数智工作坊”成功举办
论文著作
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适变与应变:“十五五”时期人口发展规划的新格局、新挑战及其实践路径
作者: 陆杰华，冯雨欣
“十五五”时期是中国基本实现社会主义现代化承上启下的关键时期,同时也是人口发展深度转型的重要节点。“十五五”人口发展规划的制定必须准确识别人口规模、结构、素质、分布等要素呈现的趋势性变化,及时把握当前人口发展的潜在机遇和堵点难点,根据人口发展新格局适时调整应变思路,不断推进人口自身均衡发展,以及人口与经济社会、资源环境的协调发展。从长远来看,人口发展规划的制定还需要纵向锚定人口高质量发展的战略目标,形成应对未来人口发展新变化的超前预案。
Navigating online perils: Socioeconomic status, online activity lifestyles, and online fraud targeting and victimization of old adults in China
作者: Donghui Wang, Yuwei Duan, Yongai Jin*
Online fraud poses a growing threat to the well-being of old adults. This study examines the causes and correlates of online fraud targeting and victimization among old adults in China. Drawing insights from the digital inequality theory and lifestyle routine activity theory and utilizing a nationally representative survey of Chinese old adults (N = 4293), this study examines how socioeconomic status and online lifestyle patterns affect their susceptibility to online fraud. The results show that old adults of better socioeconomic status are more likely to be targeted by online frauds, though not necessarily experiencing financial loss. Latent class analysis identifies four online activity lifestyles among old adults: basic, entertainment, risky, and advanced users. Subsequent analysis demonstrates that these lifestyle types predict different risks of online fraud targeting and victimization. Basic users face a heightened risk of being targeted but not necessarily monetary loss. Risky users, while not exhibiting elevated targeting risks compared to basic users, are more susceptible to financial loss once targeted. Advanced users, in contrast to basic users, face elevated risks of being targeted and monetary loss. This study offers new insights into the risk factors for online fraud targeting and victimization among old adults in China, informing the development of effective online fraud prevention programs.
低生育率社会中的家庭结构与育儿功能——基于资源供需视角的实证分析
作者: 宋健、陈文琪
本研究基于资源供需视角实证分析了低生育率社会中的家庭结构与育儿功能间的关系，并探讨了家庭情境的调节作用。育儿功能是指家庭调配整合资源以满足育儿需求的能力，本文从经济、服务和时间三个维度对其进行考察。在综合考虑了代际间居住安排的灵活性和家庭成员的流动性之后，本文将家庭结构区分为紧密式（包括凝聚式、灵活式）和松散式。研究发现，紧密式结构家庭的育儿功能优于松散式结构家庭，这在经济维度和服务维度上尤为突出。家庭情境具有显著的调节效应。本研究创建了家庭育儿功能资源供需的分析框架，对家庭结构进行了动态分类，有助于探索生育率持续低迷背后的家庭机制。
中华传统婚育文化的继承与变革
作者: 宋健、郑玉荣、张晓倩
构建新时代婚育文化是人口新形势下积极应对低生育率挑战的必然要求。婚育文化的发展离不开对中华传统婚育文化的继承与创新。在中国式现代化进程中，中国婚育文化与各个历史时期的生产力和生产关系相适应，展现出不同的阶段性特征，并在当前形成了传统与现代相交织的情形。具体表现为：从静态到流动、从熟悉到陌生、从确定到风险的社会转型削弱了家庭的凝聚力、降低了婚姻的稳定性、动摇了生育的必要性，数字社会在文化、经济、情感三方面影响青年的婚育文化。新时代婚育文化的构建须坚持对中华传统婚育文化的守正创新：一要重视现代婚育文化建设与当前生产力和生产关系的适配性；二要注重婚育文化与整体的社会文化体系相融合；三要重视与新型婚育文化相配套的功能性制度的完善。
Internet use and healthcare utilization among older adults in China: A nationally representative cross- sectional study
作者: Rize Jing, Xiaozhen Lai, Long Li *, Hufeng Wang
Assessment of the factor structure of the EPDS in Chinese perinatal women: a longitudinal study using multigroup confirmatory factor analysis.
作者: Huimin Guan, Bowen Sun, Li Yang and Ye Zhang
Introduction: Perinatal depression poses significant risks to the mental healthof perinatal women, affecting both their well-being and their ability to care for
themselves and infants. This study investigates the factor structure and reliability
of the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (EPDS) across multiple time points
in perinatal women in China.
Methods:A total of 849 perinatal women participated in this study, with data collected
at six time points: early, mid, and late pregnancy, as well as 1, 3, and 6 months
postpartum. Parallel analysis and exploratory factor analysis were conducted to
determine the factor structure of the EPDS. Internal consistency was assessed using
Cronbach’s alpha. Multigroup confirmatory factor analysis was performed to assess
measurement invariance between the antepartum (T1–T3) and postpartum (T4–T6)
groups, and to assess the fit of model across the perinatal period.
Results: Three-factor models fit best for the EPDS during the perinatal period when
analyzed at each time points and across the perinatal period. When the same item
assignment was applied to the antepartum and postpartum groups, a three-factor
model for the EPDS fit well [χ2(df = 48) = 231.92, p < 0.001; CFI = 0.97, RMSEA = 0.06,
TLI = 0.96]. The EPDS showed a Cronbach’s alpha of 0.84.
Discussion: The 3-factor model of EPDS showed good reliability, internal
consistency, and measurement invariance. Our findings suggested that the EPDS
can effectively capture symptom variability in perinatal depression, supporting
its use as a monitoring tool throughout both antepartum and postpartum.
Gendered outcomes? Educational assortative marriages, gender ideology, and depressive symptoms in China
作者: Zhao Menghan; Zhang Yang*
Background: Traditionally, the educational hypergamy dominates in most societies due to men's higher educational attainment and advantages in market work. Women in hypogamy showed greater physical and mental health disadvantages because it goes against the traditional gender ideology about marriage and results in stress. However, the recent rise in women's education and the subsequent changes in people's attitude toward assortative marriages may alter this association.Methods: Using four waves of data from the nationally representative survey—China Family Panel Studies (2012–2020, N = 31,884), we paired married respondents with their spouses and examined how educational assortative marriages were related to the depressive symptoms of wives and husbands by multilevel linear model analyses. We also tested how gender ideology about marriage might moderate this association.
Results: Compared to those in homogamy, women in hypergamy (hypogamy) were less (more) depressed, while men in hypergamy (hypogamy) were more (less) depressed. Traditional gender ideology led to even more depressive symptoms among wives in hypogamy.
Limitations: The findings should be interpreted as associational rather than causal, because we cannot establish a causal relationship without individuals' depressive symptoms before marriage, though a wide range of confounders has been controlled.
Conclusions: Against the conventional expectation that hypogamy leads to more depressive symptoms, both women and men who had less-educated spouses than themselves exhibited more depressive symptoms, whereas those with more-educated spouses were less depressed. Aside from the traditional gender norms, the practical needs, such as higher living standards and socioeconomic status, might influence how educational assortative marriages affect people's depression.
Mapping KDQOL-36 Onto EQ-5D-5L and SF-6Dv2 in Patients Undergoing Dialysis in China.
作者: Zeyuan Chen; Li Yang; Ye Zhang
Objectives: To develop mapping algorithms based on Kidney Disease Quality of Life-36 (KDQOL-36) scores to the EQ-5D-5Land SF-6Dv2 utility values among dialysis patients in China.
Methods: We used data from a cross-sectional multicenter survey in China to map the KDQOL-36 to the EQ-5D-5L and SF-
6Dv2. The conceptual overlap between the KDQOL-36 and the EQ-5D-5L or SF-6Dv2 was evaluated using Spearman’s
correlation coefficients. Direct mapping, including ordinary least squares, generalized linear model, beta regression model,
Tobit regression model (TRM), censored least absolute deviations model, adjusted limited dependent variable mixture
model (ALDVMM), response mapping, and seemingly unrelated ordered probit model, were used to derive mapping
functions using the data set. Model performance was assessed by the mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square
error (RMSE) using cross-validation.
Results: A total of 378 patients (50.53% female; mean [SD] age: 49.05 [13.34]) were included in this study. The mean utility
values of EQ-5D-5L and SF-6Dv2 were 0.72 and 0.57, respectively. When mapping to the EQ-5D-5L, the ALDVMM with 1
component was the best-performing model (MAE = 0.1579, RMSE = 0.2289). When mapping to SF-6Dv2, TRM was the
best-performing model (MAE = 0.1108, RMSE = 0.1508). Generally, KDQOL-36 subscale scores and their squares were the
optimal predictor set for each model. Overall, the models using KDQOL-36 subscale scores showed a better fit than those
using the Kidney Disease Component Summary.
Conclusions: The ALDVMM and TRM models with the KDQOL-36 scores can be used to predict the EQ-5D-5L and SF-6Dv2
utility values, respectively, among dialysis patients in China.
中国老年心理研究二十年：学科交叉视角下的回顾与前瞻
作者: 唐丹，李星语
21 世纪以来,中国人口老龄化加剧,老年心理研究蓬勃发展。基于医学、心理学与社会学等多学科的观察发现我国老年心理研究在老年心理特征、精神障碍诊治、心理健康影响因素等方面取得显著成就,但仍面临研究对象有局限、研究方法欠科学、理论实践难匹配、学科融合未充分及本土特色不突出等问题。未来,应强化学科间整合,注重理论与方法创新,聚焦中国文化背景下的社会心理现象,关注弱势群体,将科研成果转化为具体干预措施,持续推动我国老年心理研究的丰富与发展。